Trading psychology

The winning trade still needs a review

Three questions that keep a favourable result from rewriting the story of the decision.

A small trophy beside an open chart journal, representing the need to review a winning decision.
A win still needs a review of the decision behind it. Editorial illustration

A profitable outcome makes a decision easy to defend. It does not tell you whether the decision followed the plan, whether the risk was understood, or whether the result depended on an unrepeatable accident.

A journal becomes more useful when it asks the same questions after wins and losses. Otherwise, winning decisions can escape the scrutiny that losing ones receive.

Profit hua. Lekin decision kaisa tha? That is the question a useful review keeps open.

Write the plan before the result can edit it

Record the observation, timeframe, invalidation condition and intended size before the hypothetical decision. Save a chart reference if helpful. Without that record, it is easy to remember a clearer plan than the one you actually had.

For learning, historical or paper examples are enough. You do not need to risk money to practise keeping an honest record.

Review three different things

  • The observation: could someone else understand what you saw from your notes?
  • The action: did it match the recorded plan, including size and exit conditions?
  • The result: what happened after costs or, for a paper exercise, under the assumptions you chose?

Keep those fields separate. A positive number in the third field does not answer the first two.

An example without a victory story

Imagine a paper exercise in which you planned one unit, entered three and then saw price move favourably. Record the favourable result and the size deviation. Calling the whole exercise “good” would hide the part that deserves review.

Likewise, an example that followed a documented plan and lost does not by itself prove the plan is useful. A single observation cannot validate a strategy in either direction.

End with a question you can test

“Be more disciplined” is hard to evaluate. “Did I record the invalidation condition before the entry?” can be answered from a journal. Pick a specific question for the next group of observations and keep the record consistent.

Use the blank journal to start. It is a recording tool, not an assessment of performance or suitability.

Further reading

CME Group: risk management and a trade plan. The review prompts here are editorial exercises, not a claim about Shailesh’s personal trading record.

Educational content only. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. See the full disclaimer.

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